#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)
Live
- $7.2K
- $8.4K
- 29
- $4.8K
- $22.0K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA91.5%
- Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley6.5%
- expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan0.5%
- Earrings - Malcolm Todd0.3%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
7 open · 6 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 91.5 %
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA
$4.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢ - 6.5 %
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$1.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - < 1 %
expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan
$129.21 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Earrings - Malcolm Todd
$327.97 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Housewife - Tate McRae
$285.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
stupid song - Olivia Rodrigo
$285.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo
$285.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Music
- Series
- #2 US Spotify Song · weekly
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 7 open · 6 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 78
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,957 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 30. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled October 30 by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
This event has 13 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against open.spotify.com. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 31, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 02:25 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.