The best Polymarket traders
Ranked by skill, not luck — the Calibration column is measured forecasting edge over the market price at entry (lower is better), not just P&L. Across 3.2M wallets and 84 metrics.
| # | Trader | Score | Calibration | Total P&L realized + open, gross of fees | Win% | Return on capital | Volume USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ne…ot | 94.0 | p91-0.84σ | +$25.0K | 59% | +0.4% | $9.81M |
| 2 |  Du…MF | 93.9 | p92-0.90σ | +$240.5K | 70% | +6.4% | $14.95M |
| 3 |  X-…zu | 93.9 | p99-2.06σ | +$35.1K | 66% | +23.3% | $1.13M |
| 4 | i…t | 93.8 | p99-1.82σ | +$21.8K | 68% | +9.1% | $771.8K |
| 5 | Sp…um | 93.8 | p99-2.49σ | +$11.2K | 61% | +3.7% | $854.4K |
| 6 | Je…55 | 93.6 | p99-2.49σ | +$162.0K | 83% | +10.6% | $4.04M |
| 7 |  D…a | 93.4 | p95-1.07σ | +$37.7K | 58% | +14.4% | $714.3K |
| 8 |  Pi…er | 93.3 | p100-7.79σ | +$57.7K | 60% | +15.4% | $1.98M |
| 9 | hy…rE | 93.2 | p100-3.89σ | +$2.0K | 78% | +9.1% | $131.6K |
| 10 | 5…a | 93.2 | p100-3.74σ | +$5.5K | 62% | +6.9% | $1.40M |
| 11 |  MA…26 | 93.1 | p95-1.16σ | +$3.2K | 78% | +17.3% | $494.0K |
| 12 |  t…9 | 93.0 | p91-0.89σ | +$19.4K | 70% | +11.2% | $791.4K |
| 13 |  Gl…ky | 92.9 | p94-1.09σ | +$19.5K | 82% | +73.9% | $1.29M |
| 14 | Jo…01 | 92.6 | p99-2.18σ | +$110.4K | 59% | +10.2% | $5.31M |
| 15 | x6…d4 | 92.5 | p100-8.43σ | +$482.5K | 63% | +16.2% | $92.69M |
| 16 | Ab…ox | 92.4 | p98-1.59σ | +$4.2K | 77% | +75.7% | $968.2K |
| 17 |  Ki…al | 92.3 | p99-2.54σ | +$31.6K | 78% | +8.7% | $509.3K |
| 18 |  so…nX | 92.2 | p93-0.97σ | +$42.4K | 66% | +16.4% | $1.33M |
| 19 | Bo…ne | 92.1 | p98-1.80σ | +$43.5K | 81% | +288.4% | $1.73M |
| 20 | il…is | 92.1 | p99-2.80σ | +$78.3K | 96% | +11.3% | $2.00M |
| 21 | me…is | 92.1 | p100-4.21σ | +$55.8K | 75% | +12.9% | $1.94M |
| 22 | Co…la | 92.0 | p100-11.08σ | +$17.2K | 63% | +4.1% | $3.03M |
| 23 |  Ko…us | 92.0 | p98-1.57σ | +$7.8K | 63% | +50.3% | $208.5K |
| 24 | Mi…am | 92.0 | p100-3.83σ | +$2.6K | 65% | +6.7% | $1.88M |
| 25 | P…T | 91.9 | p100-11.06σ | +$20.8K | 63% | +8.7% | $7.23M |
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Create a free accountWin rate and P&L are commodity numbers everyone shows. Polyrank's edge is the skill layer — calibration, alpha, and risk. Calibration is how far a trader's entry prices beat what the market already implied, in standard deviations — lower is better, and p97 means the 97th percentile among traders with enough resolved markets to score. Raw Brier is deliberately not the headline: it rewards buying favourites. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.