Follow the skilled,not the lucky.
Polyrank tells you which Polymarket traders are actually skilled — measured by forecasting accuracy, edge over the market, and risk-adjusted return across 3.2M wallets and 84 metrics. Win rate and P&L lie. Calibration doesn't.
Three years of history, re-ranked every day.
We replayed every on-chain Polymarket trade since 2022 — and we never stop. New trades flow in as blocks land, P&L updates within minutes through the day, and the board re-ranks several times a day.
Top calibrated traders right now
Same ten traders, real data — watch the order change when you rank by skill instead of P&L.
Win rate is a vanity metric.
Two traders, drawn to scale. The “99% win rate” trader barely made money. The contrarian who's “wrong” most of the time made 8×. P&L and win-rate hide skill — calibration reveals it.
Sells $0.99 favourites all day. Almost always “right” — and almost never paid. No real edge.
Buys mispriced long-shots. Usually “wrong” — but calibrated, and paid 8× more. Polyrank ranks this trader where they belong.
Illustrative of a real pattern on the live board. Polyrank scores calibration (Brier), alpha-vs-mid, and risk — not just the headline number.
Every wallet, under the microscope.
Calibration curve, P&L methodology matched to Polymarket's own, the playbook of how they trade, and the full metric grid — every number traceable to an on-chain transaction.
- $44.7K50m ago
- $42.0K49m ago
- $41.9K36m ago
- $32.2K50m ago
- $30.3K13m ago
- $29.5K58m ago
- $29.5K59m ago
- $29.5K59m ago
The biggest trades across Polymarket in the last hour — updating live. Green = realized profit just banked.
From any wallet to the sharpest traders — in three steps.
Paste an address or username. See its real skill — calibration, alpha, risk — not just P&L.
Weight 84 metrics into your own composite, or start from 10 curated presets.
Track the sharps and see their trades as they are indexed — a live fill feed.
Every number traces to a public Polygon transaction.
Start free. Go deep when it pays.
- All 84 skill metrics + full history
- Full leaderboard + Builder + Compare
- Unlimited follows + live fill feed
- Free tier: top-100 board, headline metrics, 3 follows
- 500k API requests/mo + webhooks
- High-volume API + webhooks at scale
- Or pay per call with x402 (USDC on Base) — no subscription
- MCP server for Claude & agents
- Desk $799/mo — high-volume API, commercial license
Polymarket (and most tools) rank by P&L and win rate — which reward luck and size. Polyrank ranks by skill: calibration (Brier), edge over the market (alpha), and risk-adjusted return across all 84 metrics.
Calibration measures whether a trader’s predicted probabilities match reality — if they say 70%, does it happen ~70% of the time? Brier score quantifies it. It’s the hardest signal to fake and the best predictor of genuine skill.
Fresh where it counts. We index every Polymarket trade from Polygon as blocks land, and trade P&L updates every few minutes for most of the day (it pauses for a few hours overnight while the full nightly recompute runs). Skill metrics are rebuilt nightly, and the skill ranking re-orders several times a day. The exact age of every number is public at /v1/meta/freshness.
No. Polyrank is read-only analytics, not investment advice, and is not affiliated with Polymarket. Every number traces to a public Polygon transaction.
No. Polyrank never holds funds or keys — it’s pure analytics over public on-chain data.
Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice · Not custodial · Every number traces to a Polygon tx.