Follow the skilled,not the lucky.
Polyrank tells you which Polymarket traders are actually skilled — measured by forecasting accuracy, edge over the market, and risk-adjusted return across 3.1M wallets and 77 metrics. Win rate and P&L lie. Calibration doesn't.
Three years of history, ranked in real time.
We replayed every on-chain Polymarket trade since 2022 — and we never stop. Each new Polygon block re-scores the wallets it touches and re-ranks the board live.
Top calibrated traders right now
Same ten traders, live data — watch the order change when you rank by skill instead of P&L.
Win rate is a vanity metric.
Two traders, drawn to scale. The “99% win rate” trader barely made money. The contrarian who's “wrong” most of the time made 8×. P&L and win-rate hide skill — calibration reveals it.
Sells $0.99 favourites all day. Almost always “right” — and almost never paid. No real edge.
Buys mispriced long-shots. Usually “wrong” — but calibrated, and paid 8× more. Polyrank ranks this trader where they belong.
Illustrative of a real pattern on the live board. Polyrank scores calibration (Brier), alpha-vs-mid, and risk — not just the headline number.
Every wallet, under the microscope.
Calibration curve, P&L methodology matched to Polymarket's own, the playbook of how they trade, and the full metric grid — every number traceable to an on-chain transaction.
- $43.0K43m ago
- $41.3K35m ago
- $25.2K37m ago
- $24.7K33m ago
- $23.4K41m ago
- $21.6K7m ago
- $20.5K45m ago
- $19.5K29m ago
The biggest trades across Polymarket in the last hour — updating live. Green = realized profit just banked.
From any wallet to the sharpest traders — in three steps.
Paste an address or username. See its real skill — calibration, alpha, risk — not just P&L.
Weight 77 metrics into your own composite, or start from 10 curated presets.
Track the sharps and see them move the moment they move — real-time fills.
Every number traces to a public Polygon transaction.
Start free. Go deep when it pays.
- All 77 skill metrics + full history
- Full leaderboard + Builder + Compare
- Unlimited follows + real-time fills
- Free tier: top-100 board, headline metrics, 3 follows
- 500k API requests/mo + webhooks
- High-volume API + webhooks at scale
- Or pay per call with x402 (USDC on Base) — no subscription
- MCP server for Claude & agents
- Desk $799/mo — high-volume API, commercial license
Polymarket (and most tools) rank by P&L and win rate — which reward luck and size. Polyrank ranks by skill: calibration (Brier), edge over the market (alpha), and risk-adjusted return across all 77 metrics.
Calibration measures whether a trader’s predicted probabilities match reality — if they say 70%, does it happen ~70% of the time? Brier score quantifies it. It’s the hardest signal to fake and the best predictor of genuine skill.
Real-time. We process every Polymarket event the moment its Polygon block lands — fills land within seconds and trade P&L updates live (~every 2 minutes). Composite skill rankings refresh several times a day plus a full nightly recompute, so the board stays current without stale multi-hour snapshots.
No. Polyrank is read-only analytics, not investment advice, and is not affiliated with Polymarket. Every number traces to a public Polygon transaction.
No. Polyrank never holds funds or keys — it’s pure analytics over public on-chain data.
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Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice · Not custodial · Every number traces to a Polygon tx.