Live ranking · updated June 11, 2026
The best Polymarket traders — ranked by skill, not luck
Every other leaderboard ranks by P&L — a number one lucky bet can fake. This one ranks by measured forecasting skill: calibration (Brier score), edge over the market price at entry, and risk-adjusted return, computed from every on-chain trade across 2.8M wallets.
| # | Trader | Score | P&L | Win% | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QQQDAN | 96.4 | +$4.9K | 99% | $472.2K |
| 2 | CDAP1 | 95.4 | +$32.6K | 10% | $262.1K |
| 3 | lolilolkikoo | 95.1 | +$18.2K | 98% | $458.6K |
| 4 | ChuDebbieSharp | 94.7 | +$8.7K | 11% | $158.1K |
| 5 | PredictFolio | 94.6 | +$9.9K | 100% | $1.49M |
| 6 | Ooookey | 94.1 | +$43.1K | 19% | $561.1K |
| 7 | BipBop | 94.1 | +$47.4K | 92% | $353.7K |
| 8 | tracktesc64 | 94.1 | +$7.0K | 5% | $61.9K |
| 9 | lakemichigan | 94.1 | +$15.0K | 93% | $108.9K |
| 10 | tiger555 | 93.9 | +$5.4K | 15% | $149.0K |
| 11 | noovd | 93.6 | +$341.1K | 9% | $575.9K |
| 12 | Stavenson | 93.4 | +$201.0K | 27% | $447.2K |
| 13 | huskyvs | 93.4 | +$16.9K | 21% | $75.8K |
| 14 | Ayen00 | 93.3 | +$833.23 | 87% | $60.9K |
| 15 | cyberkurajber | 93.2 | +$17.1K | 17% | $55.4K |
| 16 | braveB | 93.2 | +$66.1K | 12% | $170.1K |
| 17 | VanillaNinja | 93.1 | +$51.9K | 16% | $326.2K |
| 18 | kamikazetrading | 93.0 | +$16.1K | 22% | $25.7K |
| 19 | atomicannie | 93.0 | +$8.3K | 5% | $32.9K |
| 20 | O.G.Degen | 93.0 | +$77.5K | 17% | $238.7K |
| 21 | Fair-Tan | 93.0 | +$37.9K | 17% | $932.2K |
| 22 | newbees | 92.9 | +$7.5K | 16% | $45.0K |
| 23 | SirMartingale | 92.8 | +$26.8K | 48% | $86.4K |
| 24 | SSSSSSSKKK | 92.7 | −$818.04 | 21% | $34.8K |
| 25 | polika72 | 92.7 | +$42.2K | 61% | $189.1K |
This is the public top 25. Rank all 2.8M wallets your way.
Sort by Brier, alpha-vs-mid, Sharpe or any of 57 metrics, across any time window, and build your own composite ranking — free.
Unlock the full leaderboardWhy P&L-only leaderboards mislead
Polymarket's public profiles and most third-party trackers rank traders by profit. Profit is real, but as a ranking keyit has two failure modes. First, it scales with bankroll: a mediocre forecaster deploying $2M will out-earn a brilliant one deploying $2k almost every time, so a P&L board is mostly a list of who showed up with the most money. Second, it doesn't separate repeatable judgment from one-off variance — a single concentrated election bet can mint a "top trader" whose next hundred trades are coin flips.
Win rate is worse. On a prediction market, your win rate is mostly a record of the prices you like to buy: buy only 95-cent favorites and you will win 95% of the time by construction, with or without edge. On our launch-day data, the #1 trader by win rate (99.1%) had banked just +$4.9k, while an 18.5%-win-rate trader was up +$39.6k. We wrote up the full mechanism — and how to spot manufactured win rates — in Why Win Rate Is the Most Misleading Number on Polymarket.
What this ranking measures instead
The composite score behind the table above weights the metrics that behave like skill — stable for the same wallet over time, and hard to fake with a price preference:
- Calibration (Brier score).When a trader's entry prices imply 70%, do those outcomes happen ~70% of the time? Scored against the market's own implied probabilities on the same markets, so beating the market — not beating a coin flip — is the bar.
- Alpha-vs-mid. Did the fill beat the market midpoint at that moment, and did the price then converge their way? Hundreds of fills that systematically beat the mid is visible, repeatable execution edge.
- Risk-adjusted return.Sharpe-style measures and drawdown context, so a result achieved while routinely risking ruin doesn't outrank a steadier one.
- Validated profitability.P&L still matters — it gates the board so well-calibrated but unprofitable wallets don't top it — it just doesn't order it.
Each wallet's profile shows all 57 metrics with percentiles, the calibration curve, and the sample size behind every figure. The methodology is public and every number traces to a Polygon transaction.
Red flags when copying any "top trader"
- A 90%+ win rate with near-zero average profit per trade — a favorite collector.
- A huge P&L from a handful of resolved markets — concentration, not consistency.
- Brier score worse than the market baseline — the market priced it better than they did.
- Tiny resolved-market sample — twenty resolutions is an anecdote, not a track record.
FAQ
Who is the best Polymarket trader?
It depends on what "best" measures. Ranked by raw P&L, the top spots are dominated by high-volume whales; ranked by skill — calibration, edge over the market price, and risk-adjusted return — the order changes substantially. The live table on this page uses Polyrank's composite skill ranking, which weights forecasting accuracy and validated profitability over raw size.
Why not just rank traders by profit or win rate?
Both numbers are easy to manufacture. Win rate is mostly a record of buying heavy favorites — a wallet that only buys 95-cent outcomes posts a 95%+ win rate with zero edge — and headline P&L can be one lucky concentrated bet. Calibration (the Brier score) and alpha-vs-mid resist manufacturing because they grade every trade against the difficulty of the claim and the price actually paid.
What is a Brier score?
A measure of forecasting accuracy. Every entry price is an implied probability; the Brier score averages the squared error between those implied probabilities and what actually happened. Lower is better: 0 is perfect foresight, and 0.25 is what coin-flip guessing scores on 50/50 markets. It is the core skill signal Polyrank ranks on.
How is this leaderboard built and how fresh is it?
Polyrank reconstructs every fill, split, merge, redemption, and resolution from raw Polygon blockchain data — roughly 2.8M wallets and 35M deduplicated trades over 3+ years. Skill metrics are recomputed nightly and the table on this page reads the live ranking. Every number traces to a public on-chain transaction; nothing is self-reported.
Can I look up a specific wallet for free?
Yes. Paste any Polymarket wallet address into the free lookup on polyrank.app to see its calibration, Brier score, alpha-vs-mid, and percentiles — no signup or wallet connection required. The full per-metric depth across all skill metrics is part of the free account and paid tiers.
Read next: why win rate lies · the Polyrank blog · Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.