2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Live
- $624.85
- $314.7K
- 18
- $182.4K
- $571.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon92.7%
- Marine Le Pen87.0%
- Nathalie Arthaud87.0%
- Raphaël Glucksmann83.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
46 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 92.7 %
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$2.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 92.7¢No 7.3¢ - 87.0 %
Marine Le Pen
$6.14 traded, 24 h
Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢ - 87.0 %
Nathalie Arthaud
Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢ - 83.0 %
Raphaël Glucksmann
$126.69 traded, 24 h
Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢ - 78.5 %
Édouard Philippe
$43.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢ - 77.0 %
Fabien Roussel
$0.44 traded, 24 h
Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢ - 76.5 %
David Lisnard
$6.14 traded, 24 h
Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢ - 73.5 %
Éric Zemmour
$2.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢ - 65.5 %
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢ - 38.0 %
Bruno Retailleau
Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢
- 35.0 %
Dominique de Villepin
$5.55 traded, 24 h
Yes 35.0¢No 65.0¢ - 31.5 %
François Hollande
$61.66 traded, 24 h
Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢ - 23.0 %
Marine Tondelier
Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢ - 21.0 %
Gabriel Attal
$12.70 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢ - 21.0 %
François Ruffin
Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢ - 21.0 %
Sarah Knafo
Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢ - 13.2 %
Jordan Bardella
Yes 13.2¢No 86.8¢ - 11.0 %
François Asselineau
Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢ - 10.3 %
Delphine Batho
Yes 10.3¢No 89.7¢ - 10.0 %
Juan Branco
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 8.2 %
Xavier Bertrand
$355.76 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.2¢No 91.8¢ - 6.7 %
Élisabeth Borne
Yes 6.7¢No 93.3¢ - 6.5 %
Matthieu Pigasse
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 6.4 %
Bally Bagayoko
Yes 6.4¢No 93.6¢ - 6.2 %
Sébastien Lecornu
Yes 6.2¢No 93.8¢ - 6.0 %
Michel Barnier
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 6.0 %
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 6.0 %
Yaël Braun-Pivet
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 5.8 %
Teddy Riner
$1.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.8¢No 94.2¢ - 5.5 %
Bernard Cazeneuve
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.5 %
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.1 %
François Bayrou
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 5.1 %
Jean Castex
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 5.1 %
Philippe de Villiers
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 5.0 %
Carole Delga
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 4.9 %
Karim Bouamrane
Yes 4.9¢No 95.1¢ - 4.9 %
Manuel Bompard
Yes 4.9¢No 95.1¢ - 4.8 %
Olivier Faure
Yes 4.8¢No 95.2¢ - 4.5 %
Jérôme Guedj
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Ségolène Royal
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.3 %
Mathilde Panot
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.3 %
Gérald Darmanin
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.0 %
Manuel Valls
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 4.0 %
Valérie Pécresse
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 3.4 %
Clémentine Autain
Yes 3.4¢No 96.6¢ - 3.3 %
Laurent Wauquiez
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 46 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 33
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 1,462 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 46 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 3, 2026 01:20 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.