2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Live
- $4.1K
- $6.2K
- 57
- $4.3K
- $137.0K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Providence23.5%
- Missouri14.2%
- Florida14.0%
- Duke13.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
45 open · 76 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 23.5 %
Providence
$24.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢ - 14.2 %
Missouri
$19.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 14.2¢No 85.8¢ - 14.0 %
Florida
$1.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢ - 13.5 %
Duke
$154.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢ - 10.3 %
Iowa State
$20.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.3¢No 89.7¢ - 10.2 %
Georgia
$5.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.2¢No 89.8¢ - 10.1 %
Texas Tech
$19.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.1¢No 89.9¢ - 10.0 %
TCU
$5.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 8.6 %
Ohio State
$19.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.6¢No 91.4¢ - 8.5 %
Oklahoma
$5.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢
- 8.0 %
Illinois
$24.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢ - 5.1 %
Indiana
$19.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 5.0 %
UConn
$113.53 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 5.0 %
Texas
$57.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 5.0 %
Kansas
$29.46 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 5.0 %
Arkansas
$19.73 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 5.0 %
USC
$5.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 4.5 %
St. John's
$19.68 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Louisville
$19.73 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Arizona
$19.72 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.3 %
Miami
$19.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.3 %
Wisconsin
$919.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.1 %
BYU
$39.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.1¢No 95.9¢ - 4.0 %
Virginia
$24.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 4.0 %
Vanderbilt
$19.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 4.0 %
Gonzaga
$19.73 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 4.0 %
West Virginia
$110.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 4.0 %
Texas A&M
$5.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 3.6 %
Michigan
$19.97 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.6¢No 96.4¢ - 3.5 %
Creighton
$5.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.5 %
Oklahoma State
$19.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.5 %
Tennessee
$19.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.5 %
UCLA
$19.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.5 %
Kentucky
$19.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.5 %
Michigan State
$19.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.3 %
Oregon
$24.25 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢ - 3.2 %
Alabama
$19.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.2¢No 96.8¢ - 3.1 %
VCU
$38.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢ - 3.1 %
Iowa
$19.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢ - 3.1 %
Villanova
$19.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢ - 2.5 %
Nebraska
$19.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢ - 2.5 %
Purdue
$19.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢ - 1.5 %
Houston
$19.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢ - 1.5 %
North Carolina
$19.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢ - 1.1 %
Saint Louis
$526.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢
76 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
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Team 120
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Basketball
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 45 open · 76 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 220
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 7,556 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 121 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against ncaa.com. Open the source
It can settle from Apr 20, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 8, 2026 04:13 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.