2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Live
- $5.4K
- $21.8K
- 79
- $10.5K
- $202.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Apple51.0%
- NVIDIA33.0%
- Alphabet10.5%
- Microsoft3.9%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
9 open · 20 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 51.0 %
Apple
$833.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢ - 33.0 %
NVIDIA
$3.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢ - 10.5 %
Alphabet
$614.21 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢ - 3.9 %
Microsoft
$452.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.9¢No 96.1¢ - < 1 %
SpaceX
$284.82 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Amazon
$0.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Broadcom
$0.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Saudi Aramco
$0.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Tesla
$0.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
20 more that never traded
- No quote now
Company B
- No quote now
Company C
- No quote now
Company D
- No quote now
Company E
- No quote now
Company F
- No quote now
Company G
- No quote now
Company H
- No quote now
Company I
- No quote now
Company J
- No quote now
Company K
- No quote now
Company L
- No quote now
Company M
- No quote now
Company N
- No quote now
Company O
- No quote now
Company P
- No quote now
Company Q
- No quote now
Company R
- No quote now
Company S
- No quote now
Company T
- No quote now
Other
Event facts
- Category
- Tech · Big Tech
- Series
- Second Largest Company · monthly
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 9 open · 20 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 269
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 12,915 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This event has 29 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 15, 2026 21:24 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.