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ADC Race 2026: Winner?

Live

$7.0K
$25.9K
22
$12.6K
$28.4K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • NattyNatt99.7%
  • AloisNL0.4%
  • Azzapp0.2%
  • SpearShot0.1%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Event facts

Category
Sports
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
4 open · 4 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
40
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
9,816 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the ADC Race 2026, a League of Legends solo queue race between Azzapp, AloisNL, NattyNatt, and SpearShot to reach the highest rank within a cap of 400 games each while playing ADC champions. If this race is not completed, or a winner has not been determined, by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from TrackDiff (https://trackdiff.com/races/adc); however, a consensus of credible reporting, including the participants' own streams, may also be used.

This event has 8 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

The result is checked against twitch.tv. Open the source

It can settle from Dec 31, 2026 23:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 11:09 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.