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Politics · US electionsAlaska Midterm

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Live

$13.1K
$741.3K
49
$71.7K
$1.09M

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins78.8%
  • Bernadette Wilson18.5%
  • David Bronson0.7%
  • Tom Begich0.6%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

22 open · 18 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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Event facts

Category
Politics · US elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$2,500
Resolver
UMA CTF Adapter v3
Questions
22 open · 18 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
107
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
19,442 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

This event has 40 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 14, 2026 00:39 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.