Alaska Senate Election Winner
Live
- $20.5K
- $867.8K
- 41
- $702.0K
- $732.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Mary Peltola75.0%
- Sen. Dan Sullivan25.0%
- Ann Diener0.1%
- Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
7 open · 22 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 75.0 %
Mary Peltola
$15.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 75.0¢No 25.0¢ - 25.0 %
Sen. Dan Sullivan
$5.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢ - < 1 %
Ann Diener
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
David Leslie
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Dustin Darden
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Richard Grayson
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
22 more that never traded
- No quote now
Candidate C
- No quote now
Candidate D
- No quote now
Candidate E
- No quote now
Candidate F
- No quote now
Candidate G
- No quote now
Candidate H
- No quote now
Candidate I
- No quote now
Candidate J
- No quote now
Candidate K
- No quote now
Candidate L
- No quote now
Candidate M
- No quote now
Candidate N
- No quote now
Candidate O
- No quote now
Candidate P
- No quote now
Candidate Q
- No quote now
Candidate R
- No quote now
Candidate S
- No quote now
Candidate T
- No quote now
Candidate U
- No quote now
Candidate V
- No quote now
Candidate W
- No quote now
Other
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $2,500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter v3
- Questions
- 7 open · 22 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 204, 57.8 % from one wallet
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 37,092 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This event has 29 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 25, 2026 07:36 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.