Amazonas Governor Election Winner
Live
- $5.9K
- $33.1K
- 48
- $20.1K
- $149.0K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Omar Aziz85.0%
- Professora Maria do Carmo13.5%
- Cabo Daciolo0.1%
- David Almeida0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
7 open · 19 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 85.0 %
Omar Aziz
$3.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢ - 13.5 %
Professora Maria do Carmo
$2.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢ - < 1 %
Cabo Daciolo
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
David Almeida
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Gilberto Vasconcelos
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Isael Munduruku
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Roberto Cidade
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
19 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Placeholder 1
- No quote now
Placeholder 2
- No quote now
Placeholder 3
- No quote now
Placeholder 4
- No quote now
Placeholder 5
- No quote now
Placeholder 6
- No quote now
Placeholder 7
- No quote now
Placeholder 8
- No quote now
Placeholder 9
- No quote now
Placeholder 10
- No quote now
Placeholder 11
- No quote now
Placeholder 12
- No quote now
Placeholder 13
- No quote now
Placeholder 14
- No quote now
Placeholder 15
- No quote now
Placeholder 16
- No quote now
Placeholder 17
- No quote now
Placeholder 18
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 7 open · 19 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 112
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 20,985 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This event has 26 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 16, 2026 21:40 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.