Anthropic IPO by __?
Live
- $9.9K
- $2.18M
- 54
- $715.9K
- $167.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- December 31, 202675.5%
- December 15, 202674.0%
- November 30, 202669.0%
- November 15, 202611.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 open · 4 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 75.5 %
December 31, 2026
$1.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢ - 74.0 %
December 15, 2026
$1.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢ - 69.0 %
November 30, 2026
$243.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 69.0¢No 31.0¢ - 11.5 %
November 15, 2026
$223.35 traded, 24 h
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢ - 1.1 %
October 31, 2026
$6.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
October 15, 2026
$1.39 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · IPOs
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 6 open · 4 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 75
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 18,466 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 10 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
4 of the 10 have already settled No.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 08:14 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.