Anthropic IPO Date
Live
- $8.1K
- $16.6K
- 59
- $4.6K
- $50.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- November 1920.5%
- November 2019.5%
- November 1813.5%
- No IPO by November 30, 202613.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
12 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 12 open questions add up to 92.4¢.
- 20.5 %
November 19
$719.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 19.5 %
November 20
$4.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢ - 13.5 %
November 18
$560.08 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢ - 13.0 %
No IPO by November 30, 2026
$660.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢ - 5.5 %
November 16
$228.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.1 %
November 23
$164.72 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 4.9 %
November 24
$317.52 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.9¢No 95.1¢ - 4.6 %
November 25
$116.75 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.6¢No 95.4¢ - 4.5 %
November 17
$272.18 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - < 1 %
November 13 or earlier
$84.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · IPOs
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 12 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 326
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 16,820 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 12 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 00:04 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.