Argentina vs. Benin: Messi Goals
Live
- $28.1K
- $28.1K
- 183
- $40.5K
- $2.2K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 1+68.0%
- 2+35.0%
- 4+4.5%
- 3+2.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
4 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Soccer
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 4 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 323
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 47,647 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Lionel Messi is scheduled to play his final match for the Argentina men's national team against Benin at the Estadio Monumental in Buenos Aires on October 6, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Lionel Messi scores in this match equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only goals scored during regular time and stoppage time count. Only goals credited to Messi on the official match report count. Penalty kicks scored during the match count; penalty shootout goals and own goals do not count. If the match is abandoned and not replayed, goals scored before the abandonment count. If Lionel Messi does not play in this match for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is cancelled, postponed beyond October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many goals Lionel Messi scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". If the match is postponed to a date on or before October 20, 2026, this market will resolve based on the rescheduled match. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official match report published by FIFA or the Argentine Football Association (AFA); however, a consensus of credible reporting, including match data from Flashscore or Sofascore, may also be used.
This event has 4 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against fifa.com. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 7, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 7, 2026 00:56 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.