ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to be Number 1
Live
- $6.4K
- $33.2K
- 31
- $16.6K
- $49.0K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 3 questions with the highest chance now.
- Alexander Zverev98.6%
- Jannik Sinner0.5%
- Carlos Alcaraz0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
3 open · 3 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Tennis
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 3 open · 3 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 49
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,583 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the player who finishes World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings, as published by the ATP at the conclusion of 2026. If the 2026 year-end rankings are not published, are canceled, or a year-end No. 1 has not been determined by January 14 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are tied and officially recognized as co-No. 1, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be the official ATP year-end rankings as published by the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 6 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 15, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 6, 2026 23:03 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.