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Tennis · ATP

ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner

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$6.6K
$20.9K
30
$21.4K
$19.8K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Alexander Zverev32.5%
  • Daniil Medvedev17.3%
  • Rafael Jodar11.1%
  • Alex de Minaur10.6%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

10 open · 86 settled · 21 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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21 more that never traded
86 settled

Event facts

Category
Tennis · ATP
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
UMA bond
$250
Dispute window
30 minutes
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
10 open · 86 settled · 21 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
117
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
26,282 shares
  1. Created
  3. First trade
  4. Event start

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 117 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

86 of the 117 have already settled No.

The result is checked against atptour.com. Open the source

It can settle from Oct 19, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 14, 2026 11:46 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.