ATP Tennis: Paris, France Winner
Live
- $8.4K
- $11.4K
- 28
- $20.7K
- $11.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Carlos Alcaraz55.0%
- Lorenzo Musetti11.7%
- Ben Shelton9.5%
- Tommy Paul9.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
13 open · 43 settled · 21 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 55.0 %
Carlos Alcaraz
$7.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 55.0¢No 45.0¢ - 11.7 %
Lorenzo Musetti
$622.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 11.7¢No 88.3¢ - 9.5 %
Ben Shelton
$34.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢ - 9.0 %
Tommy Paul
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢ - 5.5 %
Arthur Fils
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.5 %
Taylor Fritz
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.0 %
Casper Ruud
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 4.5 %
Arthur Rinderknech
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 3.5 %
Jan-Lennard Struff
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.0 %
Ignacio Buse
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢
21 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Player 1
- No quote now
Player 2
- No quote now
Player 3
- No quote now
Player 4
- No quote now
Player 5
- No quote now
Player 6
- No quote now
Player 7
- No quote now
Player 8
- No quote now
Player 9
- No quote now
Player 10
- No quote now
Player 11
- No quote now
Player 12
- No quote now
Player 13
- No quote now
Player 14
- No quote now
Player 15
- No quote now
Player 16
- No quote now
Player 17
- No quote now
Player 18
- No quote now
Player 19
- No quote now
Player 20
43 settled
- Settled No
Novak Djokovic
$106.28 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- Settled No
Alejandro Tabilo
- Settled No
Alex de Minaur
- Settled No
Alex Michelsen
- Settled No
Alex Molcan
- Settled No
Alexander Blockx
- Settled No
Alexander Zverev
- Settled No
Andrey Rublev
- Settled No
Arthur Fery
- Settled No
Arthur Gea
- Settled No
Benjamin Bonzi
- Settled No
Botic Van de Zandschulp
- Settled No
Brandon Nakashima
- Settled No
Cameron Norrie
- Settled No
Daniel Merida
- Settled No
Daniil Medvedev
- Settled No
Denis Shapovalov
- Settled No
Flavio Cobolli
- Settled No
Frances Tiafoe
- Settled No
Francisco Cerundolo
- Settled No
Holger Rune
- Settled No
Hubert Hurkacz
- Settled No
Jiri Lehecka
- Settled No
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- Settled No
Karen Khachanov
- Settled No
Kyrian Jacquet
- Settled No
Learner Tien
- Settled No
Lorenzo Sonego
- Settled No
Luciano Darderi
- Settled No
Mariano Navone
- Settled No
Matteo Arnaldi
- Settled No
Matteo Berrettini
- Settled No
Mattia Bellucci
- Settled No
Moise Kouame
- Settled No
Quentin Halys
- Settled No
Rafael Jodar
- Settled No
Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Settled No
Titouan Droguet
- Settled No
Tomas Machac
- Settled No
Ugo Humbert
- Settled No
Valentin Vacherot
- Settled No
Zizou Bergs
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Tennis
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 30 minutes
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 13 open · 43 settled · 21 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 32
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 16,138 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The 2026 Paris, France tennis tournament is scheduled for October 31–November 8, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 77 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
43 of the 77 have already settled No.
The result is checked against atptour.com. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 9, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 13:09 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.