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Pop Culture · AwardsSoccer

Ballon d'Or Winner 2027

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$5.6K
$11.5K
66
$5.5K
$976.2K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Lamine Yamal24.5%
  • Kylian Mbappé22.0%
  • Raphinha15.0%
  • Michael Olise11.1%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

28 open · 98 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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98 more that never traded

Event facts

Category
Pop Culture · Awards
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
28 open · 98 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
342
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
9,793 shares
  1. Created
  3. First trade

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 126 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 08:36 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.