Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 17
Live
- $3.8K
- $16.5K
- 37
- $13.4K
- $35.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Patient Zero - Taylor Swift96.6%
- Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley3.5%
- Be Her - Ella Langley0.1%
- Been By Now - Morgan Wallen0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
8 open · 7 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 96.6 %
Patient Zero - Taylor Swift
$1.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 96.6¢No 3.4¢ - 3.5 %
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$2.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - < 1 %
Be Her - Ella Langley
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Boston - Stella Lefty
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Drake & Don Toliver - Solar Eclipse
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Music
- Series
- Billboard #1 Song · weekly
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 8 open · 7 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 88
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 7,403 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of October 17, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This event has 15 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 13, 2026 23:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 8, 2026 05:13 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.