Bitcoin above ___ on October 11?
Live
- $6.8K
- $8.3K
- 12
- $9.5K
- $205.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 76,00099.4%
- 78,00099.4%
- 80,00096.9%
- 82,00091.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
76,000
$0.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.4¢No 0.6¢ - > 99 %
78,000
$0.91 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.4¢No 0.6¢ - 96.9 %
80,000
$1.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 96.9¢No 3.1¢ - 91.5 %
82,000
$1.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢ - 73.0 %
84,000
$35.55 traded, 24 h
Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢ - 43.0 %
86,000
$13.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 43.0¢No 57.0¢ - 19.5 %
88,000
$32.41 traded, 24 h
Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢ - 7.0 %
90,000
$466.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 2.5 %
92,000
$2.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢ - < 1 %
94,000
$495.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
Event facts
- Category
- Crypto · Bitcoin
- Series
- BTC Multi Strikes Weekly · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 7% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 20% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 10 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 43
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 7,831 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 11, 2026 16:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 6, 2026 22:21 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.