Bitcoin price on October 7?
Live
- $12.1K
- $14.2K
- 99
- $17.5K
- $165.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 84,000-86,00052.5%
- 86,000-88,00036.5%
- 82,000-84,0006.2%
- 88,000-90,0004.8%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 11 open questions add up to 101.9¢.
- 52.5 %
84,000-86,000
$1.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢ - 36.5 %
86,000-88,000
$257.68 traded, 24 h
Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢ - 6.2 %
82,000-84,000
$1.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 6.2¢No 93.8¢ - 4.8 %
88,000-90,000
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 4.8¢No 95.2¢ - < 1 %
80,000-82,000
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢ - < 1 %
90,000-92,000
$5.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
78,000-80,000
$685.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
<76,000
$20.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
92,000-94,000
$113.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
76,000-78,000
$805.35 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Crypto · Bitcoin
- Series
- Bitcoin Neg Risk Weekly · weekly
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 7% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 20% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 10 minutes
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 355
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 23,483 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This event has 11 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 7, 2026 16:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 6, 2026 18:20 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.