California Governor Election Winner
Live
- $7.3K
- $21.89M
- 39
- $1.34M
- $6.83M
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Xavier Becerra96.0%
- Steve Hilton3.8%
- Tom Steyer0.1%
- Alex Padilla0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
23 open · 22 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 96.0 %
Xavier Becerra
$2.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢ - 3.8 %
Steve Hilton
$4.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 3.8¢No 96.2¢ - < 1 %
Tom Steyer
$1.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Chad Bianco
$15.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Antonio Villaraigosa
$14.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Tony Thurmond
$13.13 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Kyle Langford
$12.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Eric Swalwell
$12.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Eleni Kounalakis
$12.04 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Alex Padilla
$10.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
- < 1 %
Toni Atkins
$10.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Daniel Mercuri
$8.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Betty Yee
$6.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Rick Caruso
$6.67 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Stephen Cloobeck
$6.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nicole Shanahan
$5.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Michael Younger
$4.30 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Butch Ware
$4.02 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Elaine Culotti
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Kamala Harris
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Katie Porter
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Leo Zacky
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Matt Mahan
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
22 more that never traded
- No quote now
Option F
- No quote now
Option G
- No quote now
Option H
- No quote now
Option I
- No quote now
Option J
- No quote now
Option K
- No quote now
Option L
- No quote now
Option M
- No quote now
Option N
- No quote now
Option O
- No quote now
Option P
- No quote now
Option Q
- No quote now
Option R
- No quote now
Option S
- No quote now
Option T
- No quote now
Option U
- No quote now
Option V
- No quote now
Option W
- No quote now
Option X
- No quote now
Option Y
- No quote now
Option Z
- No quote now
Other
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $2,500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter v3
- Questions
- 23 open · 22 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 92
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,497 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This event has 45 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 17:15 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.