Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Live
- $12.4K
- $107.6K
- 82
- $32.3K
- $8.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $20M16.5%
- $30M15.0%
- $40M6.0%
- $50M4.4%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
8 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 16.5 %
$20M
$8.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢ - 15.0 %
$30M
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢ - 6.0 %
$40M
$318.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 4.4 %
$50M
$700.68 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.4¢No 95.6¢ - 2.5 %
$70M
$299.78 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢ - < 1 %
$200M
$1.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
$150M
$7.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
$100M
$316.38 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢
Event facts
- Category
- Crypto · Token launches
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 7% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 20% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 8 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 224
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 22,271 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This event has 8 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2028 05:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 18:37 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.