Clarence Mayoral Election Winner
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $15.7K
- $29.2K
- 47
- $15.3K
- $84.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Drew Jenner100.0%
- Brendan Blomeley0.1%
- Dean Young0.1%
- James Walker0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
5 open · 26 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
Drew Jenner
$5.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 100.0¢No 0.0¢ - < 1 %
Brendan Blomeley
$9.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Tony Mulder
$835.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Dean Young
$151.28 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
James Walker
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
26 more that never traded
- No quote now
Candidate B
- No quote now
Candidate C
- No quote now
Candidate D
- No quote now
Candidate E
- No quote now
Candidate F
- No quote now
Candidate G
- No quote now
Candidate H
- No quote now
Candidate I
- No quote now
Candidate J
- No quote now
Candidate K
- No quote now
Candidate L
- No quote now
Candidate M
- No quote now
Candidate N
- No quote now
Candidate O
- No quote now
Candidate P
- No quote now
Candidate Q
- No quote now
Candidate R
- No quote now
Candidate S
- No quote now
Candidate T
- No quote now
Candidate U
- No quote now
Candidate V
- No quote now
Candidate W
- No quote now
Candidate X
- No quote now
Candidate Y
- No quote now
Candidate Z
- No quote now
Other
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 5 open · 26 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 119
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 17,731 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This event has 31 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against tec.tas.gov.au. Open the source
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 29, 2026 15:37 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.