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Politics · TrumpTrump Truth Social

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?

Live

$8.7K
$18.5K
85
$7.3K
$33.4K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • 200+96.4%
  • 180-1990.6%
  • 160-1790.4%
  • 100-1190.1%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Event facts

Category
Politics · Trump
Series
Trump Truth Social · daily
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
No trading fee
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
6 open · 5 settled
Fills, last 24 h
308
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
11,760 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade
  3. Event start

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

This event has 11 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

5 of the 11 have already settled No.

The result is checked against truthsocial.com. Open the source

It can settle from Oct 27, 2026 16:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 23, 2026 00:10 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.