Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
Live
- $6.6K
- $142.2K
- 14
- $24.7K
- $21.1K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 3 questions with the highest chance now.
- 1000+99.8%
- 920-9590.1%
- 960-9990.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
3 open · 43 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 3 open questions add up to 99.9¢.
- > 99 %
1000+
$3.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.8¢No 0.2¢ - < 1 %
960-999
$2.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
920-959
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
43 settled
- Settled No
<20
- Settled No
20-39
- Settled No
40-59
- Settled No
60-79
- Settled No
80-99
- Settled No
100-119
- Settled No
120-139
- Settled No
140-159
- Settled No
160-179
- Settled No
180-199
- Settled No
200-219
- Settled No
220-239
- Settled No
240-259
- Settled No
260-279
- Settled No
280-299
- Settled No
300-319
- Settled No
320-339
- Settled No
340-359
- Settled No
360-379
- Settled No
380-399
- Settled No
400-419
- Settled No
420-439
- Settled No
440-459
- Settled No
460-479
- Settled No
480-499
- Settled No
500-519
- Settled No
520-539
- Settled No
540-559
- Settled No
560-579
- Settled No
580-599
- Settled No
600-619
- Settled No
620-639
- Settled No
640-659
- Settled No
660-679
- Settled No
680-699
- Settled No
700-719
- Settled No
720-739
- Settled No
740-759
- Settled No
760-779
- Settled No
780-799
- Settled No
800-839
- Settled No
840-879
- Settled No
880-919
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Tweet counts
- Series
- elon tweet daily · daily
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 3 open · 43 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 21
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 7,287 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This event has 46 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
43 of the 46 have already settled No.
The result is checked against x.com. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 1, 2026 04:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 20:42 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.