Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 23?
Live
- $9.6K
- $9.6K
- 111
- $4.5K
- $13.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 72-73°F52.0%
- 74-75°F36.0%
- 70-71°F7.0%
- 76-77°F1.4%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 11 open questions add up to 99.7¢.
- 52.0 %
72-73°F
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢ - 36.0 %
74-75°F
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 36.0¢No 64.0¢ - 7.0 %
70-71°F
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 1.4 %
76-77°F
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.4¢No 98.6¢ - < 1 %
66-67°F
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢ - < 1 %
64-65°F
$140.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
62-63°F
$135.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
61°F or below
$105.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢ - < 1 %
68-69°F
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
80°F or higher
$619.64 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Weather · Atlanta
- Series
- Atlanta Daily Weather · daily
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 494
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 13,390 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport (KATL) on 23 Oct '26. The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport (KATL) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count. Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label. For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits. After the T, one digit for sign (0 positive, 1 negative) and three for tenths of a degree Celsius give the temperature; the following four are the dew point and are not used. T01390133 is 13.9°C; T10171022 is −1.7°C. If a routine observation does not carry the hourly temperature remark, the temperature group in the body of that observation governs for that observation, in whole degrees Celsius as reported. It appears as temperature and dew point separated by a slash, with M marking a negative value: 18/12 is 18°C; M11/M17 is −11°C. An observation that reports no temperature in either place is disregarded. Each market in this event states its range in whole degrees Fahrenheit. The qualifying value is converted using °F = °C × 9/5 + 32 and rounded to the nearest whole degree, with a value ending in exactly half rounded up to the next higher whole degree, and that whole Fahrenheit value determines which range contains it. For example, 18.3°C is 64.94°F and counts as 65°F; 17.8°C is 64.04°F and counts as 64°F; 19°C is 66.2°F and counts as 66°F; −22.5°C is exactly −8.5°F and counts as −8°F. An observation counts if its time stamp, converted to the station's local time (including any daylight-saving shift in effect), falls on the observation date. This market will resolve at the issuance of the first METAR observation for the station on the day following the observation date or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. Resolution is determined from the observations the resolution source shows for the observation date. In the event that the Aviation Weather Center has published no routine observation reporting a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that neither source has published data sufficient to determine a temperature for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The report the resolution source shows for a given observation time is the one that counts, whether or not it is marked as a correction (COR). Changes to observations within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. Where the first routine observation for the following date is published before that deadline, resolution is determined from a read taken after it. Where it is not, resolution is determined from a read taken at that deadline. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be the routine observations for Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport (KATL) published here: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KATL&format=raw&date=2026-10-24T04:00:00Z&hours=27
This event has 11 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against aviationweather.gov. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 23, 2026 12:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 20:38 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.