Highest temperature in Taipei on October 13?
Settled
- $14.8K
- 11
- $10.8K
- $57.6K
Questions in this event
11 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- Settled Yes
31°C
$2.9K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
33°C
$2.0K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
30°C
$2.0K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
34°C
$1.4K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
32°C
$852.67 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
29°C
$759.48 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
28°C
$163.24 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
35°C or higher
$159.32 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
25°C or below
- Settled No
26°C
- Settled No
27°C
Event facts
- Category
- Weather · Taipei
- Series
- Taipei Daily Weather · daily
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 358
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 15,656 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This event has 11 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
11 of the 11 have settled; 31°C settled Yes.
The result is checked against wunderground.com. Open the source
Volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.