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Politics · Global electionsUK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place

Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result

Open on Polymarket
$12.5K
$16.4K
48
$11.0K
$202.3K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Ewan Cameron100.0%
  • George Galloway1.8%
  • Zack Polanski0.8%
  • Patrick Stillman0.3%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

15 open · 52 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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52 more that never traded

Event facts

Category
Politics · Global elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
15 open · 52 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
147
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
14,799 shares
  1. Created
  3. First trade

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).

This event has 67 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 9, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 04:07 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.