How high will inflation get in 2026?
Live
- $10.7K
- $730.0K
- 13
- $216.9K
- $71.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Above 4.5%17.0%
- Above 5%8.5%
- Above 6%3.6%
- Above 8%3.6%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
5 open · 3 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Inflation
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 5 open · 3 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 16
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 12,598 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This event has 8 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
3 of the 8 have settled; Above 3.5%, Above 3%, Above 4% settled Yes.
It can settle from Feb 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026 02:09 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.