How many Israeli elections before government formed?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $11.6K
- $47.9K
- 135
- $21.6K
- $135.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 241.5%
- 141.0%
- 314.6%
- 41.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 6 open questions add up to 100.0¢.
Event facts
- Category
- World · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 471
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 25,118 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This event has 6 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 27, 2026 23:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 28, 2026 07:33 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.