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Tech · AI

How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?

Live

$15.8K
$15.8K
77
$4.1K
$22.7K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • $105B to $115B21.5%
  • $115B to $125B19.5%
  • $85B to $95B19.0%
  • $95B to $105B18.7%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Event facts

Category
Tech · AI
Structure
Exactly one question can win
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
9 open
Fills, last 24 h
488
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
32,218 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 9 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 28, 2026 06:36 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.