In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Live
- $4.1K
- $192.8K
- 27
- $46.0K
- $31.4K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- November 202657.0%
- December 202621.2%
- January 202710.5%
- February 20274.9%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
16 open · 1 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 16 open questions add up to 104.4¢.
- 57.0 %
November 2026
$3.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢ - 21.2 %
December 2026
$159.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.2¢No 78.8¢ - 10.5 %
January 2027
$17.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢ - 4.9 %
February 2027
Yes 4.9¢No 95.1¢ - 2.3 %
May 2027
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - 1.7 %
No IPO before 2028
Yes 1.7¢No 98.3¢ - 1.1 %
March 2027
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - 1.1 %
April 2027
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
June 2027
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢ - < 1 %
August 2027
Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢
1 settled
Event facts
- Category
- Tech · AI
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 16 open · 1 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 45
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,108 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
This event has 17 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
1 of the 17 have already settled No.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 12, 2026 02:40 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.