Junior Eurovision Winner 2026
Live
- $134.7K
- $141.9K
- 41
- $119.8K
- $20.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Armenia76.0%
- Spain24.9%
- Ukraine4.5%
- Georgia3.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
18 open · 16 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 76.0 %
Armenia
$2.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 76.0¢No 24.0¢ - 24.9 %
Spain
$10.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 24.9¢No 75.1¢ - 4.5 %
Ukraine
$441.69 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 3.5 %
Georgia
$34.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 2.5 %
Italy
$10.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢ - 1.7 %
Montenegro
$10.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.7¢No 98.3¢ - 1.5 %
Poland
$415.09 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢ - < 1 %
North Macedonia
$11.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
France
$10.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
San Marino
$11.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢
- < 1 %
Portugal
$11.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Cyprus
$10.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Azerbaijan
$9.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Netherlands
$666.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Ireland
$10.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Croatia
$11.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Malta
$10.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Albania
$910.62 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
16 more that never traded
- No quote now
Country A
- No quote now
Country B
- No quote now
Country C
- No quote now
Country D
- No quote now
Country E
- No quote now
Country F
- No quote now
Country G
- No quote now
Country H
- No quote now
Country I
- No quote now
Country J
- No quote now
Country K
- No quote now
Country L
- No quote now
Country M
- No quote now
Country N
- No quote now
Country O
- No quote now
Other
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Music
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 18 open · 16 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 365
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 138,753 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Junior Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Junior Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Junior Eurovision (https://junioreurovision.tv/), including live footage of Junior Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This event has 34 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Aug 1, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 24, 2026 23:11 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.