Largest Company end of December 2026?
Live
- $42.4K
- $3.09M
- 119
- $513.8K
- $1.47M
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- NVIDIA85.5%
- Apple13.1%
- Alphabet2.1%
- Microsoft0.4%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
8 open · 20 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 85.5 %
NVIDIA
$7.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢ - 13.1 %
Apple
$8.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 13.1¢No 86.9¢ - 2.1 %
Alphabet
$6.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - < 1 %
Microsoft
$6.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Saudi Aramco
$8.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
SpaceX
$5.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Amazon
$10.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Tesla
$5.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
20 more that never traded
- No quote now
Company B
- No quote now
Company C
- No quote now
Company D
- No quote now
Company E
- No quote now
Company F
- No quote now
Company G
- No quote now
Company H
- No quote now
Company I
- No quote now
Company J
- No quote now
Company K
- No quote now
Company L
- No quote now
Company M
- No quote now
Company N
- No quote now
Company O
- No quote now
Company P
- No quote now
Company Q
- No quote now
Company R
- No quote now
Company S
- No quote now
Company T
- No quote now
Other
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- Largest Company · monthly
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter v3
- Questions
- 8 open · 20 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 422
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 98,550 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This event has 28 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 17:15 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.