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Politics · Global electionsPeru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result

$13.1K
$276.8K
14
$86.6K
$356.0K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Rafael López Aliaga70.7%
  • Francis James Allison Oyague2.4%
  • Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca1.0%
  • Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli0.1%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

23 open · 26 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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26 more that never traded

Event facts

Category
Politics · Global elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
Varies by question
Resolution terms
Varies by question
Questions
23 open · 26 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
22
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
17,022 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

This event has 49 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 5, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 31, 2026 08:38 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.