Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 7?
Live
- $11.1K
- $11.2K
- 121
- $9.6K
- $57.2K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 24°C65.5%
- 23°C33.5%
- 25°C4.3%
- 22°C2.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 11 open questions add up to 107.4¢.
- 65.5 %
24°C
$2.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢ - 33.5 %
23°C
$2.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢ - 4.3 %
25°C
$2.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 2.1 %
22°C
$2.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - < 1 %
19°C or below
$14.98 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢ - < 1 %
21°C
$927.93 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢ - < 1 %
20°C
$142.66 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
26°C
$676.75 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
27°C
$92.71 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
28°C
$92.71 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Weather · Hong Kong
- Series
- Hong Kong Daily Lowest Temperature · daily
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 552
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 18,892 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.
This event has 11 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 7, 2026 12:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 6, 2026 18:22 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.