Lowest temperature in Miami on October 11?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $4.1K
- $5.7K
- 26
- $381.43
- $2.8K
Questions in this event
1 open · 10 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
10 settled
- Settled No
80-81°F
$1.5K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
78-79°F
$1.2K traded, 24 h
- Settled No
86-87°F
$584.41 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
82-83°F
$242.15 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
84-85°F
$125.78 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
71°F or below
$123.13 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
74-75°F
$117.89 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
72-73°F
$80.94 traded, 24 h
- Settled No
88-89°F
- Settled No
90°F or higher
Event facts
- Category
- Weather · Miami
- Series
- Miami Daily Lowest Temperature · daily
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $250
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 1 open · 10 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 65
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 6,945 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This event has 11 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
10 of the 11 have already settled No.
The result is checked against weather.gov. Open the source
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 11, 2026 12:00 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 12, 2026 06:22 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.