MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner
Live
- $6.4K
- $413.6K
- 3
- $10.5K
- $64.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Yordan Alvarez97.1%
- Bobby Witt Jr.0.4%
- Ben Rice0.1%
- Junior Caminero0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
13 open · 28 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 97.1 %
Yordan Alvarez
$0.24 traded, 24 h
Yes 97.1¢No 2.9¢ - < 1 %
Bobby Witt Jr.
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Ben Rice
$0.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Junior Caminero
$0.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Pete Alonso
$0.10 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Corey Seager
$1.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Cal Raleigh
$904.08 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Gunnar Henderson
$774.23 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Julio Rodríguez
$770.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Aaron Judge
$672.23 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
28 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Player AA
- No quote now
Player AB
- No quote now
Player AC
- No quote now
Player AD
- No quote now
Player D
- No quote now
Player E
- No quote now
Player F
- No quote now
Player G
- No quote now
Player H
- No quote now
Player I
- No quote now
Player J
- No quote now
Player K
- No quote now
Player L
- No quote now
Player M
- No quote now
Player N
- No quote now
Player O
- No quote now
Player P
- No quote now
Player Q
- No quote now
Player R
- No quote now
Player S
- No quote now
Player T
- No quote now
Player U
- No quote now
Player V
- No quote now
Player W
- No quote now
Player X
- No quote now
Player Y
- No quote now
Player Z
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Baseball
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 3% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 13 open · 28 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 12, 66.7 % from one wallet
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 6,682 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 41 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 7, 2026 17:02 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.