MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Live
- $22.8K
- $2.41M
- 84
- $116.9K
- $166.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 3 questions with the highest chance now.
- Tampa Bay Rays64.6%
- Cleveland Guardians21.0%
- Chicago White Sox13.4%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
3 open · 12 settled · 1 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 64.6 %
Tampa Bay Rays
$15.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 64.6¢No 35.4¢ - 21.0 %
Cleveland Guardians
$4.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢ - 13.4 %
Chicago White Sox
$3.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 13.4¢No 86.6¢
1 more that never traded
12 settled
- Settled No
Athletics
- Settled No
Baltimore Orioles
- Settled No
Boston Red Sox
- Settled No
Detroit Tigers
- Settled No
Houston Astros
- Settled No
Kansas City Royals
- Settled No
Los Angeles Angels
- Settled No
Minnesota Twins
- Settled No
New York Yankees
- Settled No
Seattle Mariners
- Settled No
Texas Rangers
- Settled No
Toronto Blue Jays
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Baseball
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 3% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 3 open · 12 settled · 1 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 207
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 42,466 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 16 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
12 of the 16 have already settled No.
It can settle from Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 17:26 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.