NBA: 2026-27 MVP
Live
- $7.6K
- $15.9K
- 46
- $5.5K
- $346.3K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Victor Wembanyama32.0%
- Nikola Jokic17.5%
- Luka Doncic15.6%
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander15.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
33 open · 27 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 32.0 %
Victor Wembanyama
$421.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢ - 17.5 %
Nikola Jokic
$476.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢ - 15.6 %
Luka Doncic
$525.88 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.6¢No 84.4¢ - 15.5 %
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
$407.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢ - 6.9 %
Giannis Antetokounmpo
$449.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.9¢No 93.1¢ - 3.5 %
Anthony Edwards
$435.55 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 2.8 %
Cade Cunningham
$436.12 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢ - 2.2 %
Kawhi Leonard
$468.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.2¢No 97.8¢ - 2.1 %
Jaylen Brown
$538.78 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢ - 1.5 %
Jayson Tatum
$472.84 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢
- < 1 %
Jalen Brunson
$451.55 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
Tyrese Haliburton
$451.63 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
Cooper Flagg
$392.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Donovan Mitchell
$392.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
LeBron James
$392.11 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Tyrese Maxey
$391.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Stephen Curry
$431.07 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Deni Avdija
$6.59 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Anthony Davis
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Bam Adebayo
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Devin Booker
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Evan Mobley
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Jalen Johnson
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Jamal Murray
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Karl-Anthony Towns
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Kevin Durant
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
LaMelo Ball
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Scottie Barnes
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Zion Williamson
Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢ - < 1 %
Joel Embiid
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Paolo Banchero
$7.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Alperen Sengun
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Austin Reaves
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
27 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Player A
- No quote now
Player B
- No quote now
Player C
- No quote now
Player D
- No quote now
Player E
- No quote now
Player F
- No quote now
Player G
- No quote now
Player H
- No quote now
Player I
- No quote now
Player J
- No quote now
Player K
- No quote now
Player L
- No quote now
Player M
- No quote now
Player N
- No quote now
Player O
- No quote now
Player P
- No quote now
Player Q
- No quote now
Player R
- No quote now
Player S
- No quote now
Player T
- No quote now
Player U
- No quote now
Player V
- No quote now
Player W
- No quote now
Player X
- No quote now
Player Y
- No quote now
Player Z
Event facts
- Category
- Sports · Basketball
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 33 open · 27 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 267
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,234 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 60 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 19:32 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.