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Sports · BasketballNBA

NBA: Team to Make Playoffs

Live

$6.8K
$47.9K
27
$52.8K
$581.3K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Oklahoma City Thunder96.0%
  • San Antonio Spurs95.4%
  • New York Knicks92.0%
  • Minnesota Timberwolves86.0%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

30 open

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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Event facts

Category
Sports · Basketball
Structure
Each question settles on its own; several can win
Fee
3% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
30 open
Fills, last 24 h
57
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
11,029 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2027 NBA Playoffs per the rules of the NBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Reaching the Play-In Tournament does not, by itself, qualify a team for the Playoffs and will not resolve this market to "Yes." A team must win its way through the Play-In into the 7-seed or 8-seed to qualify. Losing in the Play-In Tournament (or any associated tiebreaker) resolves this market to "No." If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after May 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 16-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 30 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from May 16, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 14, 2026 03:40 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.