New Zealand legislative election winner?
Live
- $11.6K
- $45.0K
- 25
- $14.5K
- $163.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- National Party49.5%
- Labour Party49.0%
- New Zealand First Party0.4%
- ACT New Zealand0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 open · 27 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 49.5 %
National Party
$2.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢ - 49.0 %
Labour Party
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢ - < 1 %
New Zealand First Party
$1.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Green Party
$2.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
ACT New Zealand
$1.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Te Pāti Māori
$1.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
27 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Party A
- No quote now
Party B
- No quote now
Party C
- No quote now
Party D
- No quote now
Party E
- No quote now
Party F
- No quote now
Party G
- No quote now
Party H
- No quote now
Party I
- No quote now
Party J
- No quote now
Party K
- No quote now
Party L
- No quote now
Party M
- No quote now
Party N
- No quote now
Party O
- No quote now
Party P
- No quote now
Party Q
- No quote now
Party R
- No quote now
Party S
- No quote now
Party T
- No quote now
Party U
- No quote now
Party V
- No quote now
Party W
- No quote now
Party X
- No quote now
Party Y
- No quote now
Party Z
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 6 open · 27 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 81
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 15,874 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This event has 33 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 20, 2026 20:40 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.