Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Live
- $6.9K
- $37.9K
- 24
- $7.8K
- $204.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- No Next Minister by Feb 2835.5%
- Tally Gotliv9.7%
- Gideon Sa’ar6.0%
- Gilad Kariv4.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
13 open · 20 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 35.5 %
No Next Minister by Feb 28
$6.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢ - 9.7 %
Tally Gotliv
Yes 9.7¢No 90.3¢ - 6.0 %
Gideon Sa’ar
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 4.5 %
Gilad Kariv
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.3 %
Yariv Levin
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.3 %
Ofir Katz
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢ - 4.1 %
Amir Ohana
Yes 4.1¢No 95.9¢ - 4.0 %
Hili Tropper
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 3.4 %
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
Yes 3.4¢No 96.6¢ - 3.3 %
Oded Forer
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢
20 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Person H
- No quote now
Person I
- No quote now
Person J
- No quote now
Person K
- No quote now
Person L
- No quote now
Person M
- No quote now
Person N
- No quote now
Person O
- No quote now
Person P
- No quote now
Person Q
- No quote now
Person R
- No quote now
Person S
- No quote now
Person T
- No quote now
Person U
- No quote now
Person V
- No quote now
Person W
- No quote now
Person X
- No quote now
Person Y
- No quote now
Person Z
Event facts
- Category
- World · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 13 open · 20 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 47
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 14,232 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 33 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Mar 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 23, 2026 12:20 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.