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Politics · Global electionsElections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result

$9.7K
$3.83M
71
$916.9K
$972.5K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Magdalena Andersson79.5%
  • Ulf Kristersson17.6%
  • Ebba Busch2.4%
  • Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist0.9%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Event facts

Category
Politics · Global elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
UMA CTF Adapter v3
Questions
10 open · 26 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
130
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
33,695 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade
  3. Event start

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This event has 36 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It has been eligible for resolution since Sep 14, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 12:10 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.