Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Live · past its resolution date, awaiting the result
- $18.0K
- $40.7K
- 22
- $20.9K
- $82.0K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Željka Cvijanović99.6%
- Branko Blanuša0.1%
- Draško Stanivuković0.1%
- Marinko Božović0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
6 open · 26 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
Željka Cvijanović
$186.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢ - < 1 %
Siniša Karan
$10.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Branko Blanuša
$7.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Marinko Božović
$122.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nebojša Vukanović
$18.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Draško Stanivuković
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
26 more that never traded
- No quote now
Candidate B
- No quote now
Candidate C
- No quote now
Candidate D
- No quote now
Candidate E
- No quote now
Candidate F
- No quote now
Candidate G
- No quote now
Candidate H
- No quote now
Candidate I
- No quote now
Candidate J
- No quote now
Candidate K
- No quote now
Candidate L
- No quote now
Candidate M
- No quote now
Candidate N
- No quote now
Candidate O
- No quote now
Candidate P
- No quote now
Candidate Q
- No quote now
Candidate R
- No quote now
Candidate S
- No quote now
Candidate T
- No quote now
Candidate U
- No quote now
Candidate V
- No quote now
Candidate W
- No quote now
Candidate X
- No quote now
Candidate Y
- No quote now
Candidate Z
- No quote now
Other
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 6 open · 26 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 64
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 20,553 shares
- Created
- First trade
- Event start
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 32 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It has been eligible for resolution since Oct 5, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading goes on until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 6, 2026 08:15 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.