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Politics · Global elections

Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner

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$10.0K
$29.4K
20
$21.3K
$154.9K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • María Corina Machado69.0%
  • Delcy Rodríguez10.5%
  • Jorge Rodríguez5.9%
  • Donald Trump2.9%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

10 open · 101 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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101 more that never traded

Event facts

Category
Politics · Global elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
Varies by question
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
10 open · 101 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
50
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
18,359 shares
  1. Created
  3. First trade

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election. If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

This event has 111 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Jan 1, 2030 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Nov 5, 2026 12:07 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.