Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify
Live
- $16.1K
- $65.8K
- 56
- $40.1K
- $48.2K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Frances Tiafoe94.0%
- Rafael Jodar66.0%
- Taylor Fritz15.2%
- Tommy Paul12.6%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
32 open · 5 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 94.0 %
Frances Tiafoe
$3.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢ - 66.0 %
Rafael Jodar
$3.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢ - 15.2 %
Taylor Fritz
$290.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.2¢No 84.8¢ - 12.6 %
Tommy Paul
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 12.6¢No 87.4¢ - 3.5 %
Matteo Arnaldi
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢ - 3.4 %
Learner Tien
$20.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.4¢No 96.6¢ - 3.4 %
Arthur Fery
Yes 3.4¢No 96.6¢ - 3.3 %
Ignacio Buse
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢ - 3.0 %
Valentin Vacherot
Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢ - 2.5 %
Jiri Lehecka
$0.03 traded, 24 h
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢
- 2.5 %
Alexander Blockx
Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢ - 2.4 %
Jakub Mensik
Yes 2.4¢No 97.6¢ - 2.2 %
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Yes 2.2¢No 97.8¢ - 2.0 %
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢ - 1.9 %
Andrey Rublev
Yes 1.9¢No 98.1¢ - 1.7 %
Francisco Cerundolo
Yes 1.7¢No 98.3¢ - 1.6 %
Casper Ruud
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢ - 1.6 %
Quentin Halys
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢ - 1.6 %
Raphael Collignon
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢ - 1.5 %
Alexander Bublik
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢ - 1.3 %
Alex de Minaur
$2.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.3¢No 98.7¢ - 1.2 %
Novak Djokovic
$3.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 1.2¢No 98.8¢ - 1.2 %
Brandon Nakashima
$0.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.2¢No 98.8¢ - 1.1 %
Ugo Humbert
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - 1.1 %
Luciano Darderi
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
Mariano Navone
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢ - < 1 %
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
Joao Fonseca
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢ - < 1 %
Zizou Bergs
Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢ - < 1 %
Lorenzo Musetti
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
Alejandro Tabilo
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Tennis · ATP
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 15% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 32 open · 5 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 274
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 34,042 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 37 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
5 of the 37 have settled; Arthur Fils, Flavio Cobolli, Ben Shelton, Carlos Alcaraz, Daniil Medvedev settled Yes.
It can settle from Dec 7, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 4, 2026 17:21 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.