Nobel Chemistry Prize Winner 2026
Live
- $9.1K
- $9.1K
- 56
- $10.3K
- $35.2K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Harry Gray15.5%
- Shankar Balasubramanian15.5%
- David Liu14.5%
- David Allara14.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
30 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 15.5 %
Harry Gray
$733.93 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢ - 15.5 %
Shankar Balasubramanian
$494.86 traded, 24 h
Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢ - 14.5 %
David Liu
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢ - 14.0 %
David Allara
$803.97 traded, 24 h
Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢ - 13.5 %
Stephen Buchwald
$1.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢ - 10.0 %
Chi-Huey Wong
$129.17 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 8.5 %
Pieter Cullis
$40.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢ - 7.0 %
Bonnie Bassler
$526.59 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 7.0 %
Michele Parrinello
$2.55 traded, 24 h
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 6.7 %
Eric Jacobsen
$341.56 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.7¢No 93.3¢
- 6.5 %
Peter G. Schultz
$305.19 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 6.5 %
Takuzo Aida
$23.72 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 6.1 %
Jin-Quan Yu
$649.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.1¢No 93.9¢ - 6.0 %
Makoto Fujita
$4.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 6.0 %
James Collins
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 5.7 %
Krzysztof Matyjaszewski
$482.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.7¢No 94.3¢ - 5.5 %
JoAnne Stubbe
$87.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.5 %
Craig Crews
$2.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.0 %
Tao Zhang
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 4.9 %
Henry Snaith
$321.36 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.9¢No 95.1¢ - 4.8 %
Stephen Lippard
$569.75 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.8¢No 95.2¢ - 4.7 %
John Kasianowicz
$48.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.7¢No 95.3¢ - 4.5 %
Michael Grätzel
$61.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Jean-Marie Tarascon
$25.19 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Jens Nørskov
$3.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Daniel Nocera
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Hiroaki Suga
$316.52 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.0 %
Kazunari Domen
$659.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 4.0 %
Clifford Brangwynne
$21.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢ - 3.5 %
Zhenan Bao
$82.83 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Awards
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 30 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 404
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 34,665 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The Nobel Prize in Chemistry is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry is scheduled to be announced on October 7, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them. If the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 30 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against nobelprize.org. Open the source
It can settle from Oct 8, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 6, 2026 19:14 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.