Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Live
- $6.7K
- $17.9K
- 43
- $16.3K
- $431.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Yulia Navalnaya10.0%
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms8.7%
- Donald Trump8.5%
- UNRWA8.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
16 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 10.0 %
Yulia Navalnaya
$471.58 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 8.7 %
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
Yes 8.7¢No 91.3¢ - 8.5 %
Donald Trump
$128.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢ - 8.0 %
UNRWA
Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢ - 7.0 %
Doctors Without Borders
Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢ - 6.5 %
António Guterres
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢ - 6.0 %
International Criminal Court
Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢ - 5.5 %
Committee to Protect Journalists
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.5 %
Jimmy Lai
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢ - 5.5 %
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- World · Geopolitics
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 16 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 58
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 15,712 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This event has 16 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Apr 1, 2028 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 22, 2026 02:07 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.